The resolution of the war in Ukraine is very likely to turn out as I expected in March this year. Ukraine will need to concede some territory to obtain peace and Russia will obtain some of its historical domination over the eastern Ukraine. See my original blog post for more background on the history of Ukraine: https://roliscon.blog/2022/03/08/ukraine-a-more-balanced-view/
There may be face-saving defence guarantees given by the USA, UK and rest of Europe but only the USA has sufficient capability to make them stick. Ukraine never had sufficient military capacity to defeat Russia and the UK and the rest of Europe have wasted bags of money on pointlessly supplying arms to Ukraine.
Donald Trump may be bullying Zelensky to accept a peace deal he does not like but there is no point in continuing the war in the vain hope of victory. Ukraine should not be allowed to join NATO to which Russia would strongly object and would weaken the NATO alliance.
Let us settle the matter and move on with less pretence that even the USA and Europe combined can impose their will on Russia.
Roger Lawson (Twitter: https://x.com/RogerWLawson )
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